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Trump. With the election of Donald Trump came the risk of
instability for the geopolitical climate and global economy. Trump was elected
on basis that he would flex America’s raw power (issues with the Iran nuclear
deal; threats to North Korea) and stray from trade agreements that shape the
global economy, as we know it today. Trumps presidency is listed as a threat in
the Eurasia Group’s Top Risk 2017: The Geopolitical Recession as well as Top 5
Risks for Business in 2017
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Corruption. Corruption leads to inequality. As a
result, the people look to populist leaders who promise to fix the issues
plaguing the poor (much like in the United States 2016 elections). However, the
corruption in nations continues. Transparency International’s Corruption
Perception Index shows two-thirds of the 176 countries and regions of the world
fall below the midpoint of the corruption scale.
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Competition between States. There is a new world order among us
that encompasses the rise of the rest. America’s primacy is declining and other
countries want and have the ability to challenge America. China is the second
most important country in the world with a booming economy not to mention they
finance the debt of the United States and are exercising their own sort of
Roosevelt Corollary in the South China Sea. North Korea is increasingly testing
out nuclear weapons and as of October 20, it is reported that North Korea is
“months away” from being able to hit the United States with a nuclear missile.
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Terrorism. Terrorism has been high on America’s
radar since 9/11 with al Qaeda and now with the Islamic State. When the fall of
the Islamic State comes, it will cause a massive migration of Islamic extremists
and foreign fighters that will threaten many countries.
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Mass Involuntary Migration. As
stated above, with the potential fall of the Islamic State comes the migration
of Islamic extremist and foreign fighters not to mention civilians all
together. Massive migration leads to a number of other issues, including but
not limited states collapsing, social instability, and food crises.
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