Tuesday, October 6, 2015

The United Nations at 70: demise of a decrepit institution or start of a new chapter?


Photo by Luke Redmond
https://www.flickr.com/photos/lukeredmond/1795084139


NEW YORK, Sept. 20 - Born in the aftermath of World War II out of the failure of its predecessor, the League of Nations, the United Nations (UN) this year has reached an important milestone.  After 70 years of international diplomacy, the UN has weathered the storm of a great many crises, controversies, and scandals. However, in the years to come  the UN will face its greatest challenge yet, maintaining its relevancy in international affairs. In order to do this, the seminal international organization of the 20th century will need to reform if it is to have a positive impact on the international issues that plague our time.

The Untied Nations supreme executive body, the Security Council, has long been ruled by five permanent members: China, Russia, Britain, France, and the United States. These powers, victorious after the Second World War, have used this historical privilege to dominate world affairs over the UN's 70 year history. Despite the monumental failures of these 'Great Powers' to prevent tragedies at Srebrenica in 1995, in Rwanda the year before, and most recently in the Syrian Civil War; the status quo has served us well since 1945. Despite successfully averting nuclear war, others claim that the P5 have held dominion over the Security Council for too long, and reform is needed.
Today, many states are calling for the current distribution of power on the Security Council to be reconsidered. Proposals vary from expanding the number of permanent members, to increasing the size and tenure of the non-permanent seats, to both. Others have proposed changes to how the P5's veto is used (the five permanent members are able to cast a veto on any resolution which results in its failure to be adopted regardless of support from the rest of the Council). The stated rationale behind these varied proposals is that over the past seven decades the distribution of power in international affairs has shifted. The developing nations insist that the Security Council's makeup must be more representative to reflect this. There are also questions of efficiency in light of the councils most notable failures to succeed in its mandate of ensuring 'the maintenance of international peace and security'.

Remember that for career diplomats representing their nations at the UN Headquarters in New York City, a seat on the Security Council is seen as capstone to their careers, the ultimate feather in one's cap. Ultimately behind all of the proposals for a specific nation's inclusion in the Council lies the desire of that nation's diplomatic core to increase its prestige and consequently its states position. Even if we are to concede that the Council should be more representative of the developing world, there are far more considerations to be made than pleasing any one nation when it comes to Security Council reform. For example, including India as a permanent member would inevitably anger its neighbor and rival Pakistan, who would then have to be included to prevent conflict. The same parallel can be drawn elsewhere. Consider that it can take over a year to plan even something as innocuous as a UN official dinner for fear of seating the wrong nations next to one another. One can easily extrapolate the implications the nuances of international affairs have for even the most mundane functions to something as significant as safeguarding international peace and security.  Security Council reformation is further complicated by the fact that it would be unfathomable for a current P5 member to give up its position. This means that any discussion about reforming the Security Council will inevitably mean its expansion. 

Therein lay the final rationale for reforming the Security Council, greater efficiency. Simply stated, if a council of 15 cannot effectively pass resolutions to solve a crises like the one going on in Syria, what possible benefit could we derive from adding another 10, 20, or even 30 voices into the mix? Calls from pro-reform nations to consider efficiency as a primary driver for change should be taken with a grain of salt, see their true motivations above: power and privilege.

To be sure, the current set-up in the UN Security Council is far from ideal. Yes, the balance of power has shifted away from many of those 'Great Powers'. Yes, the failure of the Council to prevent atrocities in the former Yugoslavia, in Rwanda, and now Syria is troubling and demoralizing to say the least. One can clearly see the need for action, but the question remains what might that action be? None of the current proposals to reform the Security Council make any sense when considering efficiency and the need for action on dire issues concerning global security. If anything they will only further stagnate a quagmire of politicking that has inundated the Security Council for much of its existence.

At 70 years old, the UN is faced with a herculean task. Find a way to appease everyone and gain some momentum on the world's current crises (of which Syria is but one of many); or fade away into irrelevancy as those disgruntled states take their resources elsewhere. The League of Nations only survived 26 short years, by all accounts the United Nations has outdone its predecessor in every respect. Let us hope that they do not both in the end share the same fate.



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